Trading algorithms.
Tested in public.
I build neural network trading algorithms from tick data, test them out of sample, and publish what holds up. And what doesn’t.
BTC · Standby
What this site is
The research, the course into it, and the systems that pass.
Follow the research
Neural networks trained on real tick data, tested out of sample, and written up as each run finishes. What passed, what failed, and why. Many notes have a companion video.
Read the latest → FreeTake the course
Start from zero: how markets work, how to build and test a signal, how to write the program with AI coding tools. Seventeen short lessons on one running example. No experience needed.
Start at part one → PaidRun a finished system
Trading algorithms built from research that passed every test. Closed source, with tuned settings, execution rules, and monitoring. Paper trade each one in your browser first.
See the systems →Latest
New notes, as the work happens.
How long should a signal remember?
A proposed comparison of short and long memory windows using the same input signal.
What happens after a burst of trades?
A study outline for separating a sudden increase in trading activity from a directional prediction.
When two signals tell the same story
A proposed redundancy check before adding another feature to a research model.
How the work is done
Every claim comes with its evidence.
- Test before you believe.An idea is a guess until it has been run against real market data with a stated sample and a stated result, net of costs. Ideas that fail get written up too.
- Let the evidence decide.I choose the model to fit the problem, then check how it behaves on unseen data, in fast markets and quiet ones. Its results have to justify its complexity.
- Open research, closed systems.The course, the experiments, and the code are public. The finished, tuned algorithms are the only thing you pay for.
Systems
The strategies that passed.
Closed-source trading algorithms built from the open research. Every method they use is taught in the course or written up in the notes. Paper trade each one against live market data in your browser before a dollar is involved.
QD·1
Imbalance Momentum
Trades sustained order-book pressure before it prints on the chart.
- Signals
- Book imbalance · Taker flow · Micro-price deviation
- Horizon
- Seconds to minutes
QD·2
Absorption Reversal
Fades aggressive flow that the book absorbs without moving.
- Signals
- Absorption · Replenishment · Failed impact
- Horizon
- Seconds to minutes
QD·3
Liquidity Vacuum
Positions ahead of moves through thin-book air pockets.
- Signals
- Depth mapping · Liquidity decay · Flow direction
- Horizon
- Minutes